| SOME FINAL NOTES
We need more information as to why we are producing the
definition
We need to keep in mind that the nature of the raw data may be inaccurate and so a ratio
of inaccurate figures would be even worse. It is important to quote all three pieces of
information pertaining to the nation or region in question, i.e. total forest and land
areas, and total population, but add to those, further data on the date to which these
figures refer and some indication of the precision and accuracy of these estimates
together with annual or periodic rates of change in forest and land areas and population.
If nothing else this will force analysts to review the quality of the information they are
quite content to convert into ratios. Any composite index should reflect the nominal error
levels and allow sensitivities to guide categorization. Emphasize getting good basic data
on areas and populations before trying to derive simplistic indices.
Basing a working definition of LFC on combinations of indicators
is also attractive in that is possibly allows for a "richer" interpretation of
the difficulties to emerge in the political discussion which IFF4 will have. Dennis's work
with the thresholds suggested in the paper has perhaps brought in a few other countries
but again, with the exception of Netherlands, they are generally the countries we would
have expected to see. Using slightly higher thresholds to bring in a couple of
"developed" countries may help the process.. More work could obviously be done
on this.
If forced to choose only one option, a population-based ratio is
the most informative indicator for development agencies to use in making resource
allocation determinations. The dominant historical relationship between people and forests
has been that as the former advances, the latter retreats. If, as the saying goes, the
past is prologue, then population dynamics will remain a key factorthough certainly
not the only factordemanding consideration by all parties interested in achieving
"sustainable" resource management.
[Introcuction][General Findings][An Analysis of Possible Definition]
[Some Final Notes][Acknowledgements][Reference]
[Appendix 1-Basic
Data For Low Forest Ccver Analyse]
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